Non-motoring > Royal Mail sell off Miscellaneous
Thread Author: Crankcase Replies: 143

 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase
Bearing in mind the closing time for applying for shares is midnight tonight, is anybody having a punt?

Or are perhaps you of a mind that it's not quite the done thing, shall we say?
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
I thought about it but decided against......

....it does look as though it will be oversubscribed though.

.... I bought Barclays instead......

I am looking forward if this happens it is certainly worth going for

tinyurl.com/odkfrky
 Royal Mail sell off - Dulwich Estate
It's a no brainer - free money !

I stagged the BT shares, British Gas etc etc you name it. Didn't make a fortune, but a few hundred quid in those far off days was a nice bonus.

Having got a taste of it we opened dozens (yes dozens) of building society accounts before they all hit the market with shares. Then we had the building society takeovers too.

All in all, mostly with the building societies, I reckon we made around £7000 with not a lot of effort.

Capitalism - love it!
 Royal Mail sell off - Zero
did british gas, BT, and copped three Building society sell offs, but not going for the Royal Mail.
 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase
Kind of hovering over the do it button...hmmm...tick tick tick...
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
Thanks for the reminder.

Applied for self and boss this afternoon, took some time to get through to HL on the phone. I hope I get more than the £100 worth of lastminute.com I got.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>>Bearing in mind the closing time for applying for shares is midnight tonight,

I think you'll find that it's midnight tomorrow.
 Royal Mail sell off - Roger.
£750 minimum is too rich for me.
 Royal Mail sell off - R.P.
And for the new, New Labour to re-nationalise without compensation....don't think so..
 Royal Mail sell off - CGNorwich
"And for the new, New Labour to re-nationalise without compensation....don't think so.."

You don't hang on to the shares - you sell them next week and take the profit.

Labour or any government won't re-nationalise the Royal Mail. They will be quietly pleased to be shot of the problem and be able to blame the decision on the coalition but regrettably will find it too expensive to reverse.
 Royal Mail sell off - Zero
new NEW labour have already announced they wont re-nationalise. The problem is they are due to go on strike shortly after the shares go on sale. Not a good time to sell, they may have to be a "holder" for a month or two,
 Royal Mail sell off - No FM2R
>>new NEW labour have already announced they wont re-nationalise

Not quite, IIRC. They said something like it would be ridiculous and/or irresponsible to commit to doing so since it was too far into the future. Not quite the same thing.

>> Labour or any government won't re-nationalise the Royal Mail. They will be quietly pleased
>> to be shot of the problem and be able to blame the decision on the coalition but regrettably
>> will find it too expensive to reverse

Whilst I expect that to be an accurate assessment, nonetheless if they saw significant political advantage in doing so, it would be done in a heartbeat - hang the expense and previous comments/commitment - but I doubt that there would ever be sufficient advantage.

 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Changed my mind.......

I have opened an online account and stuck in an application for £3000 worth......
 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase
Think I've decided against, but not because of moral reasons or anything else - more because I can see that for me in my particular circumstances it's going to be one of those More Hassle Than It's Worth games.

Be interested to know whether your three grand makes you anything in the end, helicopter, if you want to share when the time comes.


 Royal Mail sell off - Zero

>> because I can see that for me in my particular circumstances it's going to be
>> one of those More Hassle Than It's Worth games.
>>

Same reasons here, plus the fact they will be 10 times oversubscribed and it seems you wont get what you apply for.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
Ever the optimist...
 Royal Mail sell off - Ambo
I shall hold on to the shares as I think they will be steady earners, regardless of the initial bonanza.

I was considerably miffed over the sell-off of Railtrack, or whatever it was called. If you buy equities you have to take risks. I sold at a small profit before the big price drop. Then the Government stepped in with compensation for the loss other investors had sustained.
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Well the price will be set somewhere between £3.00 and £3.30 according to todays Telegraph because of the demand and ' traders were last night betting the shares will start trading at £4.03 ' so it has to be worth a punt and .....

....as to oversubscription Zeddo .....at least a third of the shares have to go to small investors.....

....as to hassle it took me under ten minutes to open an account with Hargreaves Lansdown , transfer the money by debit and apply for the shares ..... where is the hassle in that.


Even if I only get 50% allocation at say £3 each the potential is there for a quick £350 profit...

...compare that to the building society and it is a no brainer...

I will let you know how I do Crankcase if and when I sell .....
Last edited by: helicopter on Tue 8 Oct 13 at 09:42
 Royal Mail sell off - Zero
>> ....as to oversubscription Zeddo .....at least a third of the shares have to go to
>> small investors.....

Who are oversubscribed 10 times.. If you get 3ks worth and sell, yes there a profit, if you get 300 quids worth any profit get taken by brokerage costs. That to me is "waste of effort" territory.
Last edited by: Zero on Tue 8 Oct 13 at 09:44
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Simple economics Z .... copied from Investopedia....

The law of supply and demand is not an actual law but it is well confirmed and understood realization that if you have a lot of one item, the price for that item should go down. At the same time you need to understand the interaction; even if you have a high supply, if the demand is also high, the price could also be high. In the world of stock investing, the law of supply and demand can contribute to explaining a stocks price at any given time. It is the base to any economic understanding.


If the share subscription is 10 times oversubscribed that means that the law of supply and demand comes into play Z old chap.....

and IMO the price must surely rise when they go on the market ......

....lets consider if you were offered ( worst case scenario ) even £100 for 10 minutes work would you consider it a waste of effort....?

 Royal Mail sell off - Zero
You have completely bypassed the maths in your quest for rules of economics. And also bear in mind because the shares are 10 times over subscribed does not mean they will increase to 10 times in value.

>> ....lets consider if you were offered ( worst case scenario ) even £100 for 10
>> minutes work would you consider it a waste of effort....?

No, but I surmise I wont get 100 quid profit. So yes I think it may be a waste of effort. I'm sure you'll be happy to prove me wrong if it comes off.
Last edited by: Zero on Tue 8 Oct 13 at 10:04
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
I think Z is probably right. The demand means big scaling back - the DT suggests £750 allocations for private investors. And most of those applying won't be interested in buying after the IPO anyway.

I put the applications in as a one way bet - the chance of losing out seems low, and it might yield a bit of profit for the sake of a couple of phone calls.

There's also a sort of principle there somewhere. I don't think it should be privatised and I don't think value belonging to UK taxpayers should be donated to hedgies, so if I can't stop it I'll try to get the benefit of my bit.

I did actually lose out on lastminute. The allocation was so low it wasn't worth selling, so I filed it away until it was worth about half what it cost me, then sold it in a tidying up exercise!
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
I'm sure you'll be happy to prove me wrong if it comes off.

In the words of Churchill OOH YES! :0)
 Royal Mail sell off - sooty123
Can't say I even noticed there was sell off until I read this thread. Must have passed me by, has there been a lot of adverts?
 Royal Mail sell off - rtj70
>> Even if I only get 50% allocation at say £3 each the potential is there for a quick £350 profit.

What tax would a higher rate tax payer pay on that quick £350 profit?
 Royal Mail sell off - CGNorwich
None It's not income.
 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase
Oh fiddle de dee and blast. Now he tells me. Sigh.

The tax implications was one of the reasons I didn't bother. I'm such a financial innocent.
 Royal Mail sell off - Zero
>> None It's not income.

but its a taxable gain.
 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase
I'm going for a lie down. I'm baffled already.
 Royal Mail sell off - CGNorwich
As zero says capital gains are taxable but you have an allowance of £10,900 before you need to start paying capital gains tax. Provided you have not made more than that amount in the tax year your gains would be tax free,
 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase
Ok, that makes sense. But I assume you'd have to fill in a tax return to make it all happen correctly,and touch wood, even though I'm lucky enough to be a higher rate tax payer, I've never even seen a tax return. Scary.

 Royal Mail sell off - CGNorwich
You don't have to tell the tax man unless your capital gains exceed your allowance.
 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase
I have to say that's one of the most useful things I've learned on this site. Thanks for that.
 Royal Mail sell off - Stuartli
>> And for the new, New Labour to re-nationalise without compensation....don't think so..>>

A certain Ed Miliband says he will impose a 20 month freeze on energy prices in 2015 if his party is elected.....

I've already frozen my dual fuel energy costs with nPower until the end of September 2016 and, if I follow it up, could do so until the end of March, 2017.

Apart from the fact that Miliband doesn't seem to understand the potential minefield he proposes to enter, it's hardly groundbreaking policy making...:-( :-(

 Royal Mail sell off - SteelSpark
Who knows what will happen with these shares, either in the long run or on the first day of trading.

But, anybody who thinks that because the shares are oversubscribed, they will certainly rise at the start of trading, badly misunderstands markets.

Have a look at Facebook for example. Hugely hyped and hugely oversubscribed. On the first day of trading they clung on to $38 because the banks backing them had flooded the order book at that price, propping up the price. After that it was free-fall.

Of course, if you'd held on while they lost over half their value and went down to $18, you could have seen them now rise to $50.

You might get a pop at the start of trading (like Facebook), and be able to cash out, or they could double in the first week, or once they become available for shorting they could halve in a few days.

But don't assume that oversubscribed means that the only way is up!

You might take some comfort from having an idea of the fair value of the shares based upon fundamentals, which might put in a long term floor, but I haven't seen anybody here mention what they think a fair value calculation is.





 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Well I do not think anybody ( particularly me ) assumes that the only way is up for these shares -

I have been burned before and in early 80's lost a couple of thousand I could ill afford investing in a company for which I worked at the time...which went bust. I received the share certs on the same day as the redundancy notice.

...and indeed as a result now I tend to be very risk averse and I did originally consider buying Royal Mail and decide against however ........

....happily SWMBO and I are retiring next March and after discussions last week with our Financial adviser we found we had a bit of money spare....

£3K is a fairly minor punt for me these days and as it does not matter to me desperately I can wait and sell when the price is right be it short or long term.....

I have also bought a few Barclays shares to top up my existing holding.

Last edited by: helicopter on Tue 8 Oct 13 at 13:47
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> Who knows what will happen with these shares, either in the long run or on
>> the first day of trading.
>>
>> But, anybody who thinks that because the shares are oversubscribed, they will certainly rise at
>> the start of trading, badly misunderstands markets.

True. If the price falls below 330p when trading starts, will all the people piling in now want to buy some more, as they logically should? I don't think so.

>>
>> Have a look at Facebook for example. Hugely hyped and hugely oversubscribed. On the first
>> day of trading they clung on to $38 because the banks backing them had flooded
>> the order book at that price, propping up the price. After that it was free-fall.

Different sort of business. Shades of the dot com bubble.

>> You might take some comfort from having an idea of the fair value of the
>> shares based upon fundamentals, which might put in a long term floor, but I haven't
>> seen anybody here mention what they think a fair value calculation is.

Based on the dividend promise, a yield of 5%-6% should put a floor under it unless it starts to look unsustainable. If I were to get a reasonable amount (looks very unlikely), and there was quick profit opportunity I would consider selling half and keeping the rest, topping up if there's market weakness later on.

More likely we will get a few hundred quid each in which case we'd sell for a profit if there's one available.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
We've just applied for some. A few minutes on the PC - easy peasy.
 Royal Mail sell off - mikeyb
Not convinced on there being a quick buck to be made here, although happy to be wrong.

I fear that the unions will take advantage of the new ownership structure and look to capitalise for its members
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>> for its members

Who will also be shareholders.
 Royal Mail sell off - mikeyb
>> >> for its members
>>
>> Who will also be shareholders.
>>
>>

Which may make a difference for some, but many will be to shortsighted to understand the implications
 Royal Mail sell off - mikeyb
www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24442861

Quite likely I'm missing something here, but why would you opt out of free money?
 Royal Mail sell off - Zero
>> www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24442861
>>
>> Quite likely I'm missing something here, but why would you opt out of free money?

Thats *some* of the more rabid union shop stewards, (they have more than that, so a lot have swallowed their principals for the lure of filthy lucre)

Thats a kick int he teeth for the union.
 Royal Mail sell off - BobbyG
So have we got another of the country's asset here which is failing and no use for the country and we can't make any money out of it? But investors are tripping over themselves to buy shares and early indications are they are selling it off at 1/3 less than the market is willing to pay for it?
 Royal Mail sell off - Zero
The state has no place in delivering parcels from Amazon.
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> The state has no place in delivering parcels from Amazon.

Not sure about that. Remember bus deregulation in Sheffield? Competing buses racing each other on the same routes, all under occupied and belching smoke because the operators couldn't afford to run decent equipment.

Get the density up and the cost goes down. Probably half a dozen parcel vans pass here every day - even if they are all full when they set off, they are doing a lot more miles than they need to.
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Share price set at £3.30 I see and seven times oversubscribed according to the Telegraph.

Apparently large private investors being greedy and asking for more than £40 K worth may be excluded altogether in favour of smaller private investors....

 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
More info here:

www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24471622
 Royal Mail sell off - SteelSpark
>> Apparently large private investors being greedy and asking for more than £40 K worth may
>> be excluded altogether in favour of smaller private investors....

I heard it might be as little as 10k

However, is a larger investor being greedy, just because they invest more?

If you have a thousand pounds to invest and apply for £400s worth, are you being less "greedy" than somebody who has a hundred thousand pounds to invest and applies for £40K?

Is a billionaire investor always greedy because the stakes they take are proportionate to their wealth?
 Royal Mail sell off - Ambo
Not enough shares for Brits while bids from foreign sovereign sources are being accepted, for example the government of Singapore.
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
Maybe part of the thinking is that a wealthier person can overbid more easily. There's also an element of giveaway about it - a lot of people think it's worth more than 330p a share, and we are being sold something we already own.

The fair shares calculation also says if you want to allow everybody to take a meaningful stake (which if anything means more than £750) then you can allocate £40,000 to one individual, who is perhaps in a position to write a cheque for £100,000 up front to secure it.
 Royal Mail sell off - No FM2R
>>and we are being sold something we already own.

Uh, no. You are being offered to take something into your personal ownership which is currently owned by the state. i.e. Not you. The money you pay will go into the state pot.

I'm never sure what the media mean by "owned by the tax payer".
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> >>and we are being sold something we already own.
>>
>> Uh, no. You are being offered to take something into your personal ownership which is
>> currently owned by the state. i.e. Not you. The money you pay will go into
>> the state pot.
>>
>> I'm never sure what the media mean by "owned by the tax payer".

Yes I understand that Mark. It's the perceived "giveaway" element that makes the difference.
 Royal Mail sell off - No FM2R
You lost me Manatee; "giveaway"?
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> You lost me

I doubt it

>>Manatee; "giveaway"?

People are being encouraged to believe they can sell for an immediate profit. If I sell you a tenner for a fiver, it's a giveaway. It's not difficult to see then why well off people filling their pockets is seen as greedy, or at least unfair.

Just saying.
 Royal Mail sell off - No FM2R
I genuinely didn't know what you meant.

Bearing in mind that I don't see any publicity for this, are people really being lead to believe that its "immediate profit" territory, or is that just what they are choosing to believe?

Who is doing the encouraging? Or is it a media thing?

I agree, that if there is the suggestion of immediate profit, then a rich person buying loads could be seen as greedy.

Although presumably only if someone getting 40,000 impacts your ability to get the 100 you asked for (or whatever the figures are).

But like I said, your requested amount should be your ceiling, and the shares distributed equally up to and subject to that ceiling.
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> I genuinely didn't know what you meant.

Apology - take it as a compliment :)

Yes there has been a lot of hype, and the applications shot up in the final 48 hours. Cable has come in for criticism from the Labour guy -

"Shadow business secretary Chuka Umunna criticised the government on Monday for "short-changing" taxpayers."

and popular forecasts up to a week ago were for up to 40% profit. The original price range was 260-330p, since then it has been struck at 330p as far as we know, which stands to reduce the difference a bit.
 Royal Mail sell off - Cliff Pope
Why is a large genuine investor wanting to take a stake in an industry greedy, but a gambler staking £750 is not?
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
Only because it is more than their fair share perhaps? If there was an infinite number of shares it wouldn't matter.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>>www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-24471622

>>I heard it might be as little as 10k

Why have a cut off at £10,000? Surely the investor applying for that amount is just as entitled to an allocation as anyone applying for less.

Some of these decision makers will be looking for votes in the not too distant future.

( I didn't apply for such a large amount, by the way)
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
There are a lot more votes applying for £750 than £10,000 or £40,000.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
If I applied for £750 worth and was allocated just half of that amount, I would not consider that to be unreasonable. If I applied for £10,000 worth and received no allocation whatsoever, I would not be a happy bunny.
 Royal Mail sell off - No FM2R
I think the amount you have asked for should be the ceiling of what you will be offered. And that it should be divided equally.

Thus someone who asked for £750 might get all they asked for, but someone who asked for £40,000 might also get £750, or perhaps more if more was available.
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> I think the amount you have asked for should be the ceiling of what you
>> will be offered. And that it should be divided equally.
>>
>> Thus someone who asked for £750 might get all they asked for, but someone who
>> asked for £40,000 might also get £750, or perhaps more if more was available.


I don't disagree with that
 Royal Mail sell off - SteelSpark
I find it interesting that many are saying that wealthier investors are greedy because they want more than their "fair share".

It begs the question of what a fair share is.

Is it just the amount that you need? Is it the total divided by the number of people?

For either of those definitions, anybody who lives in a decent sized house with a decent plot of land, probably has more than their fair share of housing.

"But we earned it!", they may cry.

So, perhaps the fair share is what you can get through your own, legal, efforts. In the case of large investors, that may be much more than the average man.

I suspect when asked to define "more than a fair share", very many would (if being truthful) say "more than I have"...
Last edited by: SteelSpark on Thu 10 Oct 13 at 15:02
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> I find it interesting that many are saying that wealthier investors are greedy because they
>> want more than their "fair share".

The more money you have, the more of whatever it is you can buy. That's how it is, not much point claiming it's unfair even if there is a good argument that it is.

Different though if the gubberment is "giving away" value as has been alleged (and assumed, I think it's fair to say, by just about everybody who has applied).
 Royal Mail sell off - Cliff Pope
It sounds a bit like begging for money, and being asked how much you want.

If you say £10,000, you won't get anything.
If you say 50p for a cup of tea, you might get it, but be left wishing you'd asked for a pound to buy a biscuit as well.
If you say £2.90 it might arouse suspicion.
 Royal Mail sell off - Armel Coussine
In 1973 a black panhandler came up to me in a park in New York and asked me for 37 cents. There was something so endearing about the request for such a specific sum that I counted it out carefully and gave it to him.
 Royal Mail sell off - SteelSpark
>> Different though if the gubberment is "giving away" value as has been alleged (and assumed,
>> I think it's fair to say, by just about everybody who has applied).

Not really.

Anybody who invests in anything, is assuming that they are getting value, and that they will get a return on the investment.

Whether the theoretical return is high or low, doesn't really make a difference. The question is whether you have the money to invest.

Let's assume that this investment is actually "free money". What about somebody who has £75 to invest? Where is their fair share of this "free money"?

Why does the person who can afford £750 get 10 times more "free money" than the person who can only afford to invest £75?

If the person who can invest £750 gets their "free money", why does the person who can invest £75,000 not get 100x more?

Having more money lets you make bigger profits on investments, whether it's bank interest, or house appreciation, or stock appreciation.



 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
uk.news.yahoo.com/royal-mail-share-price-revealed-145415413.html#PM1yVcA
 Royal Mail sell off - Dulwich Estate
It's beginning to look like £150 profit (after costs) for a £750 punt.
 Royal Mail sell off - Dutchie
I bought shares in the Royal Mail more than the £750.Not to make a quick profit but for the longer term.I won't receive the full amount I wanted,looks like the big institutions and the sharks will receive the full amount.
 Royal Mail sell off - No FM2R
"Sharks"? Was there a way of cheating with the applications?
 Royal Mail sell off - Dutchie
I suppose there always is with any sell off unless I'm naïve.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
Edit: Link deleted.
Last edited by: Clk Sec on Fri 11 Oct 13 at 06:24
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Well I will get 227 shares under current allocation..... £749.10 at £3.30

Grey trading started at 8 am today..

I just tried to log in to Hargreaves Lansdown site to check to check my account to find that the account is 'temporarily unavailable' ..... no doubt with people trying to sell.

Just a note to those that want to sell quickly , if the price rises by more than 10% on any day over the previous days price then trading will be suspended under current regulations so I would not be selling just yet.......

227 x 33 pence ( 10%) of start price = £74.91

Lets wait and see....
Last edited by: helicopter on Fri 11 Oct 13 at 08:32
 Royal Mail sell off - smokie
£4.40 right now, good morning's work for the fat cats who would have got the big allocations. IO hope the Little Man also gets a piece of the action when full trading starts next week.
Last edited by: smokie on Fri 11 Oct 13 at 08:42
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Well thats £250 profit less £17 or so for broker..... if I sell.

Close to 100 million shares traded in 23 minutes...
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
Still can't sign in to HL.
 Royal Mail sell off - smokie
Had the same on Nat West stockbrokers site a few years back when I wanted to sell RBS which had gone up 33% on market open. Finally got in about 08:20 and only made 27% or thereabouts.
 Royal Mail sell off - CGNorwich
"Some 10 million shares were traded in the first 30 seconds when the market opened. Stockbroker Hargreaves Lansdown reported that its website was having "intermittent problems" due to the "unprecedented interest" in Royal Mail."

Robert Peston. BBC
 Royal Mail sell off - smokie
The site I use for instant prices is www.moneyam.com/stockwatch/, need to sign up but for free you get instant prices, although requires refresh every 10 mins or so.

That is currently showing 42m sold and 71m bought. Which has always puzzled me, if someone has sold them then someone must have bought, and vice versa, so why don't the numbers match?
 Royal Mail sell off - Rudedog
OK, really silly question.. so who now owns and runs RM? have things changed since before the sell off? and how soon will I be able to buy a cheaper 1st class stamp?
 Royal Mail sell off - Roger.
>> OK, really silly question.. so who now owns and runs RM? have things changed since
>> before the sell off? and how soon will I be able to buy a cheaper
>> 1st class stamp?
If the electricity sell-off is a guide, Royal Mail is now owned by either the Russian Mafia, the Governments of France and Germany and other more shadowy figures: as with energy, you may expect a doubling in the price of stamps and a halving of the service!
:-)
 Royal Mail sell off - Harleyman
as with
>> energy, you may expect a doubling in the price of stamps and a halving of
>> the service!
>> :-)
>>

Maybe, but that's pretty much happened in the last 10 years already.
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
so why don't the numbers match?......

In the current frenzy people are gambling.....

I believe that an awful lot of people will be selling shares they do not own yet ......ie gambling in the hope that by the time they have to settle and transfer the shares the price will have changed to their advantage... a risky business ....
 Royal Mail sell off - rtj70
>> I believe that an awful lot of people will be selling shares they do not own yet ......ie gambling

A few years ago, Porsche was gambling like this on VW. At the time Porsche was making more money trading than making cars. The trouble was the gamble didn't pay off and VW had to step in and effectively buy Porsche. I think it was technically a merger.
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Rude dog

To answer your question as to who owns RM it is still mainly the state and me (227 shares)

.....as to how soon will I be able to buy a cheaper 1st class stamp? Never....


..... you should have taken the opportunity to buy as many first class stamps as possible when the price was 46 p and advised as going up to 60p . I spent around £2000 on stamps at 46p each for work and we are still using them.

The letter part of RM is declining because nobody sends letters theses days with email and texts so the price of stamps will rise but the converse is that the parcel service is expanding massively because of home delivery to online shoppers....
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>>I believe that an awful lot of people will be selling shares they do not own yet ..

Is that still possible? Certainly it was when I first started trading several decades ago.

I seem to remember that there were two settlement days each month and you could buy and sell between them without parting with a penny piece.
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Hargreaves Lansdown site still down......not good for an on line broker......

There are going to be an awful lot of very disgruntled customers..........

tinyurl.com/lkqo6e9
 Royal Mail sell off - Alanovich
>> disgruntled

Good word. Why does "gruntled" not exist? I want to be gruntled.
Last edited by: Alanović on Fri 11 Oct 13 at 11:01
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
I want to be gruntled......

I'll go and fetch the pigs.....

 Royal Mail sell off - Robin O'Reliant
Surely, if disgruntled means one is peed off, then to be gruntled is to be happy?
 Royal Mail sell off - Alanovich
>> I'll go and fetch the pigs.....
>>

Please don't change your handle to "Brick Top".
 Royal Mail sell off - Zero
>> Hargreaves Lansdown site still down......not good for an on line broker......
>>
>> There are going to be an awful lot of very disgruntled customers..........

Dont know why, you cant sell them yet anyway.


Edit, not till next Tuesday. Lets see what price you get then.
Last edited by: Zero on Fri 11 Oct 13 at 12:07
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Dont know why, you cant sell them yet anyway......

Oh do keep up at the back Z - you obviously have not heard of the grey market .....what do you think everyone has being doing this morning in the hundreds of millions of trades that have swamped the brokers but buying and selling RM shares.....


I did get into HL site and could have dealt at £ 2.33 making a £233 profit ie over 30% but I have decided to hold for the moment.......
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>>I believe that an awful lot of people will be selling shares they do not own yet ..

>>Is that still possible?

>>Oh do keep up at the back Z - you obviously have not heard of the grey market .....what do you think everyone has being doing this morning in the hundreds of millions of trades that have swamped the brokers but buying and selling RM shares.....


Presumable, they have been selling their allocated shares. Shares that they own.

 Royal Mail sell off - sooty123

>>
>>

>> I spent around £2000 on stamps at 46p each for work and we are still
>> using them.

Inheritance for the kids? Or keep a sub post office single handed? :-)
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>>I believe that an awful lot of people will be selling shares they do not own yet ..
>>Is that still possible?

Having given the matter some thought, I think it most unlikely.
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> >>I believe that an awful lot of people will be selling shares they do not
>> own yet ..
>> >>Is that still possible?
>>
>> Having given the matter some thought, I think it most unlikely.

This implies you can - at least if you bought through HL

Service message: The Royal Mail Share Offer has created unprecedented interest, we are extremely busy, and some clients are experiencing a delay when they try to log into their account. We are working hard to solve this and appreciate your patience whilst this is resolved. Please accept our apologies and if your query is urgent call our helpdesk. If you would like to buy or sell Royal Mail shares please call our dealing line on 0117 980 9802 and we will place your deal at online rates.

Current(ish) price 433p.

 Royal Mail sell off - Rudedog
So if I was now a share holder can I have my post especially marked to receive priority treatment?...on second thoughts maybe that might have the reverse effect! ;)
 Royal Mail sell off - SteelSpark
>> >>I believe that an awful lot of people will be selling shares they do not
>> own yet ..
>> >>Is that still possible?
>>
>> Having given the matter some thought, I think it most unlikely.

I expect that you are talking about trades that have not settled. Settlement is 3 days after the trade, but you can still sell in that time.

Of course, you can also short sell, but you often can't do that immediately, unless it is a naked short (i.e. where you haven't borrowed the stock).

It is amusing me today to see suggestions that they could have sold all the shares at 456p (or even close to that) simply because that is the high of the day.

If a million people would buy a loaf of bread at £1, half a million at £1.20 and a thousand at £2...is there anybody who really thinks that you could therefore convince the original million to buy it at £2 also?
Last edited by: SteelSpark on Fri 11 Oct 13 at 12:48
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>>I expect that you are talking about trades that have not settled.

Yes, indeed. Thanks.

 Royal Mail sell off - Ambo
Sold at 438p as I have a nervous disposition.
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
Sold mine today, 441p, gone UP since then, still got hers as I have a bet hedging disposition.
 Royal Mail sell off - Runfer D'Hills
I forgot to apply for any as I have a memory like a goldfish disposition.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
Keeping ours as we have a hoarding disposition.
 Royal Mail sell off - Duncan
Didn't apply for any as I have a boracic disposition.
 Royal Mail sell off - zookeeper
this whole Royal Mail sell off business makes the great train robbery look like a nice jolly on the titfield thunderbolt
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Sold today for a total of £1029.21 @£4.58662 per share...that includes commission of £11.95

Total time to deal 20 minutes max, profit made £280.11.

 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase
Very nice. Thanks for the update.

[gentle seethe mode = on]

 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
I decided not to be greedy Crankcase and I have decided that I will give that quick profit to my nephew when he gets married next month.....

Opinion varies as to whether the shares are a hold or a sell but a profit is a profit.

 Royal Mail sell off - Cliff Pope

>>
>> Opinion varies as to whether the shares are a hold or a sell
>>


Here's one suggested strategy:

Sell half.
If the price rises, you make a further profit.
If the price falls, buy some more.
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
Just sold hers at 460. Mine went Friday at 441.

If there's a buying opportunity I might buy back in, but if they go up further then a profit of £523.77 is a nice problem to have, and it is going to my daughter and her husband elect as a wedding present on Saturday.
 Royal Mail sell off - Crankcase

>> going to my daughter and her husband elect as a wedding present on Saturday.


Is that a G&S reference?

I ask because everything I've done this weekend has been mirrored in the various threads here today for some reason, and it's getting a bit unsettling now. I saw The Mikado on Saturday afternoon.

I'm hoping Manatee is going to say he has no idea what I'm talking about.
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
>> I'm hoping Manatee is going to say he has no idea what I'm talking about.

It does sound a bit Mikado-ish doesn't it, but it must have been sub-conscious.

I think my daughter is more Yum Yum than Katisha, and I'm not sure the affable Jock she's marrying would be quite as affable if I welcomed him into the family as Nanki-Poo in my speech.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>> Here's one suggested strategy:
>>
>> Sell half.
>> If the price rises, you make a further profit.
>> If the price falls, buy some more.
>>

Another would be to set a stop-loss, and follow the shares as they head north.
;-)
 Royal Mail sell off - Dutchie
Shares are a funny business.I sold BP shares 11 years ago at over seven pounds they still haven't recoverd to that level.I've got K.C Shares which I should have sold at the top price and didn't.If you have some spare cash and can afford to lose some go ahead.If not leave well alone.
 Royal Mail sell off - Ambo
I sold and bought GSK. I then found my broker had done the same
 Royal Mail sell off - Fullchat
Ditto the KC shares Dutchie :(
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
See RM are now trading at £4.84 so that is another £50 or so I could have had for hanging on an extra day.......
 Royal Mail sell off - Manatee
The 'trade' are making serious money now...there are more buys than sells, the reverse of the last couple of days.

The premise for that must be the expected yield...but at that price the projection must be below 5%. That's around the yield on BP, Imperial Tobacco, BAT, GSK etc. that seem to me to have more reliable earnings.

I'm not relying on that. The financials seem to support it but RM will need a lot of continuing investment, it isn't operating in a stable environment, it still has the Universal Service Obligation, and if it loses its grip on service or industrial relations then the ball will be over the wall. On the plus side it still has a good market position, and there's talk of hidden value in property.

Not that anybody should take my opinion as advice. I bought BP at £6 just before the Macondo blowup.
 Royal Mail sell off - Bromptonaut
>> Shares are a funny business.I sold BP shares 11 years ago at over seven pounds
>> they still haven't recoverd to that level.I've got K.C Shares which I should have sold
>> at the top price and didn't.If you have some spare cash and can afford to
>> lose some go ahead.If not leave well alone.

Remember the govts sale of part of BP around time of the market fall in 1987? The offer price was more than the price shares were trading on the LSE. Ditto with one tranche of BT.

Aviva has been a big faller as well. Holding worth north of £10k a few years ago now around £4k.
 Royal Mail sell off - legacylad
Share price finished even higher at close of business today.
I applied online just a short time before going into hospital for surgery, and could have sworn I applied through the RM Nominee Share Service. My mind must have been on other things because I received the share certificate in the post today! Drat. There goes selling cheaply via the automated telephone service.
 Royal Mail sell off - Dutchie
I got the £750 worth of shares.No share certificate yet,rang the broker it's on his way.

Success with your surgery legacylad.
 Royal Mail sell off - legacylad
Anyone still holding?
I sold my mothers @£5.12 and hoping the sell price will reach £5.57. After online dealing costs in my Isa that should net me £500....almost sufficient to fuel an A8 from Edinburgh to Southampton.
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Are you still holding Legacylad ?

Price still rising........

Current sell price is £5.755.....

 Royal Mail sell off - Mapmaker
I'm certainly holding until they've entered the Footsie in December; tracker funds must be desperate for them.

To be honest, it's such a small holding and it's in my SIPP so I won't see the cash for years yet that I might just keep hold of them. It doesn't cost anything to keep holding them, it does cost money to sell them and to buy something different.
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>> I'm certainly holding until they've entered the Footsie in December;

Same here.
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
I agree with you Mapmaker regarding the long term and the Footsie entry which will more or less oblige tracker funds to buy into them......

....so much so that I have just bought another 400 as a longer term punt .... I will see what happens in December
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
I agree with you Mapmaker regarding the long term and the Footsie entry which will more or less oblige tracker funds to buy into them......

....so much so that I have just bought another 400 as a longer term punt .... I will see what happens in December
 Royal Mail sell off - legacylad
Still holding here. £11.95 to deal online but no big deal as only 227 like the majority of us. Mind you, the net profit would pay my car insurance for over three years.
Wish I had bought more when trading started...hindsight yet again.
 Royal Mail sell off - bathtub tom
>>Wish I had bought more when trading started...hindsight yet again.

Yeah, right.

I sold BT when they were at £13 and bought them back at £9.

I've got a load of Lloyds shares.

I don't do the share market any more.
 Royal Mail sell off - legacylad
Nothing personal bathtub, but operate a 'stop loss' and unless bad news leads to a catastrophic overnight drop you can't go too far wrong.
Unfortunately I have had a few 'sudden drops' and then my 'stop loss' system was to no avail. Just glad it hasn't happened more often.
 Royal Mail sell off - Lygonos
That has about the same logic as playing red on roulette and always doubling your bet when you lose so when you win you always make back your previous losses.

Until you get black 10 times in a row and lose the lot.

Don't gamble that which you can't afford to lose, and you won't go far wrong ;-)
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>>but operate a 'stop loss' and unless bad news leads to a catastrophic overnight drop you can't go too far wrong.


I remember buying my first shares when I was about twenty. It was the only time I have ever bought on the advice of a stockbroker and I was pleased that his selection (a mix of about half a dozen or so, from a rock-solid blue chip company to a considerably more risky mining company) had increased in value by around 50% in a relatively short period of time.

However, in my inexperience, I didn’t give a thought to incorporating any sort of stop-loss system, instead watching the shares drift lower, hoping they would recover, and eventually selling them for less than they had cost me.

Never again. Since then I keep an eye firmly on my stop-loss. It certainly doesn’t come with a 100% guarantee of success, but it offers a reasonable safety net in many instances and has served me well.

How else could I afford to run my modest 1.8 hatch?
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
Anybody still holding their original allocation of these shares?

I see that they have just hit the £6 mark.......

I sold my original allocation at a profit as above .

I then bought another 400 shares @ £5.72 so they are still rising.... is it worthwhile buying more - what does the team think?

 Royal Mail sell off - legacylad
I'm still holding my small allocation.
Pre launch I had a chat whilst out walking with a friend, and told him I was thinking of buying more at the opening price, whatever it was...£4.40? Unbeknown to me he sold £22k of equity from his S & S Isa and bought RM. So far as I know he is still holding. Wish I had his nerve, and funds!
 Royal Mail sell off - CGNorwich
Still got mine
 Royal Mail sell off - Hacko
also kept mine, and was quite encouraged to retain when I noted, earlier in Jan, Sky's Business editor forecasting that German post giant Deutche Post would make a bid for UK Royal Mail by end of 2014.
 Royal Mail sell off - helicopter
There is certainly something going on .... they are now up 11 p on the day to £6.08 ......maybe a bid is coming in.....
 Royal Mail sell off - Mapmaker
Cazenove put a 700p target on it yesterday. We'll see...
 Royal Mail sell off - BobbyG
Its a pity the present Govt didn't think it was very valuable to the country.........
 Royal Mail sell off - Clk Sec
>>Still got mine

Same here.
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