If everybody understood probability, very few would buy lottery tickets and nobody except money launderers would play fixed odds betting terminals.
On average the chance of dying from a AZ-induced blood clot seems likely to be about the same as the annual risk of dying from gunshot, although I suspect one can improve this risk a lot by not committing suicide. But how many people do you know who shot themselves?
The annual chance of dying from a blood clot of all types is on a scale of 1000 times greater than one caused by AZ.
The risk of death from all causes at 20 is worse than 1 in 5,000, at least 100 x worse than AZ, and it gets more likely from then on.
If I were especially prone to blood clots I might be cautious.
Vaccination could well be a government plan to reduce the population, it meets the incompetence criterion. Is Dido in charge of it?
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