It is probable Omicron is spreads more rapidly than the current dominant Delta variant.
It is likely that current vaccines are less effective against Omicron infection.
The initial assessment is that Omicron produces less severe disease.
The original proposition that the NHS is not be overwhelmed still seems a reasonable policy.
Confidence in projections made requires confidence in the assumptions being made. Right now that confidence is limited. Over the next 10-15 days I would expect both scientific and data analysis to largely eliminate the uncertainty.
I have limited sympathy for those too foolish to get vaccinated. However if Omicron has the capacity to cause severe disease in those already vaccinated (and boosted), NHS could be under real threat.
My natural inclination is for "business as usual", but a two or three week "wait and see" policy seems entirely reasonable.
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