Going with a fixed rate means you are effectively paying someone else to take the risks.
In more normal times fixed rate will often be below capped rate as energy companies benefit from having a locked in customer at a known price. They can trade in the market to cover their risks.
Right now the future is full of risk and the energy companies charge a large premium to fix the rate - they are taking a material risk.
Personally I am sticking with the capped rate. The rate will have to increase a lot to make a fixed rate commitment better. In future the price cap will be reviewed at 3 month intervals so that if the price falls, the price I pay will be reduced fairly quickly.
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