...I'm no statistician, but there seems to be an awful lot of dodgy maths in there.
I think the only constant measure you could possibly rely on is the number of deaths. The (confirmed) infection rate is highly dependent on the number of people tested, which will vary over the period with a significant number of factors, not least the underlying number of people who actually present themselves for testing (rather than self-isolation or forced-isolation - the number involved here is likely to have risen, perhaps greatly, during the infection), the timeliness of any presentation and testing, and any variation in testing practice. Far too much scope for statistical error.
As for the conspiracy theory - get more worried when Parliament is locked-down tighter than a gnat's whatsit - it isn't (....yet). ;-)
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