>> The Chinese strategy of containment will ultimately fail.
We don't hear much about this but the premise of the UK approach seems to be that there is no stopping it, so if 60%-80% are going to be infected and there will be no virus for a year at least, then it should be spread out between now and maybe October.
Accepting the premise, the strategy is logical - but risky if it gets out of hand.
I don't think we could do what China has done anyway - they locked down one province, while resources were drawn from the rest of the country; not to mention the authoritarian government and correspondingly compliant population.
What happens then when China takes the lockdown off?
Italy had no choice - they were drowning. Doesn't mean it's the right thing for us, although my instinct would be a bit more prudence at this stage. Easier to release the genie than to get it back in the bottle.
I'm concerned that the daily increase in cases seems to have gone from 15% to 30% or more, notwithstanding that the measure is affected by the rate or, and policy towards, testing.
Last edited by: Manatee on Sat 14 Mar 20 at 18:05
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