In the absence of vaccination there are essentially only three paths, sides of a triangle really;
1) No isolation
2) Isolate everybody
3) Isolate the vulnerable.
Isolating everybody is not viable, and anyway people will simply increasingly ignore it.
Isolating the vulnerable is something that the country can facilitate but is a decision for the individual.
No isolation is not really a central decision, it is a product of the extent of 1).
And of course the facilitation of 3) means PPE, Flexible working, etc. etc.
Isolating everybody is failing and that failure will snowball.
If we refer back tot he original Imperial College report it said that 500,000 would die if the virus was left to it's own devices. I presume that would be lower now but even if not, how long should 67 million suffer to one extent or another to predict an ever decreasing 500,000?
I'd say we're about there.
(And I am one of the vulnerable - steroid controlled asthma with repeated instances of pneumonia).
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