Well he's doing better than the media who are useless but it's still bumble.
Not one reporter pinned down what the strategy is - suppression like China, or some version of mitigation? Chris Whitty seemed to blur this yesterday and didn't go near it today unless I missed it - my attention wandered a few times when Johnson was waffling..
Remember Monday's report from Imperial College that says
"mitigation is unlikely to be feasible without emergency surge capacity limits of [the NHS] being exceeded many times over... even if all patients were able to be treated, we predict there would still be in the order of 250,000 deaths in GB"
and
"epidemic suppression is the only viable strategy at the current time"
Johnson busked it in a way that suggested 12 weeks was at least thinkable as a time frame for dealing with it. Maybe the hope is that UK and substantially every other nation can eliminate new cases so the measures can be lifted but it didn't sound like that, more like keeping infection at a manageable level. Not sure what would happen to countries with no or useless health systems in the full suppression scenario.
He was a lot better than Trump - faint praise.
Last edited by: Manatee on Thu 19 Mar 20 at 18:22
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