"I've skimmed through the Imperial report and it is so full of "we assume this, we assume that" that it's almost meaningless.............."
A 'King's new clothes' moment, Kevin. I am now a 70yr old retired and, somewhat cynical, biologist; I have written, read, refereed and reviewed many scientific papers. Nowadays, I scan through a paper, go back and re-read the introduction and the conclusion and tell if it's of any worth or not; I'm afraid that for this submission, my bull-sheet sniffer twitched like a rampant rabbit. It is guesswork, based on estimates founded on assumptions. A nice bit of academic noodling that gave us a fabulous glimpse of the bleedin' obvious. Weeks ago I was shouting at the telly that this was far more serious than was being assumed. Last week I was defending Trump for banning flights into the US ....... 3 days later our beloved European neighbours were closing their borders ....... nobody was criticising them. It was time for us to get real a fortnight or more ago, I'm afraid it isn't sensible to try to control a pandemic like a rugby ball in a scrum.
Covid-19 is spread from human to human - the only answer we have at present is isolation - that should NOT be too difficult to understand. Rates of infection in London are currently much higher than the rest of the UK - that shouldn't be too difficult to understand either, when you see video of crowded tube trains. I despair, I really do!
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